ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO): The price is very reasonable, not too high

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JP Morgan raised the price target for the ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) stock from “an Overweight” to “a Neutral”. The rating was released on March 22, 2021. We previously noted in another research note published on November 20, 2020 by HSBC Securities that downgraded the stock from a Hold to a Reduce for ZTO stock. The research report from Daiwa Securities has downgraded the stock from Buy to Outperform. The stock was resumed by JP Morgan, who disclosed in a research note on September 18, 2020, to Overweight and set the price objective to $40. In their research brief published May 22, 2020, HSBC Securities analysts upgraded the ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. stock from Reduce to Hold.

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Historical Earnings Surprises and Revenue Forecasts

Profit is the most critical financial performance measure. Every investor in a business is looking forward to the earnings report as stock price to increase when earnings exceed market expectations and progressively decrease when earnings do not meet expectations. The firm reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.24 during the last quarter as opposed to a consensus estimate of $0.27, which indicates the company missed its estimate by -$0.03, which implies that the company surprised the market by -11.10%. It appears that the average earnings per share estimate for the current quarter (ending in Mar 2021) is $0.16. This is an average of 5 analysts’ earnings, where the high earnings per share estimate is $0.19 and the low earnings per share estimate is $0.09. According to 4 analyst estimates, an average revenue estimate of $938.49M is projected for the current quarter with a high revenue estimate of $998.19M and a low estimate of $907.44M.

The latest trade, Performances and Moving Averages give us the following Picture

The share price of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) raised 3.61% to close Thursday’s market session at $28.67, higher as compared to yesterday’s close. The stock price fluctuated between $27.27 and $29.24 throughout the trading session with the volume trading being 6837217 shares, which represented a significant variation when compared to the three months average volume of 3.80 million shares. The firm’s stock price fluctuated -2.75% within the last five trades and -17.35% within the last 30 trades, which was a significant change from the beginning of this year. Despite the fact that the share price decreased -4.27% in the last 6 months and 2.39% was added to its value over the previous 3 months. ZTO stock is trading at a margin of -11.06%, -14.53% and -11.74% apart from the 20-Day, 50-Day and 200-Day Simple Moving Average prices.

As of the close of trading, ZTO deals in the Industrials domain. The stock is trading -26.47 percent below its 52-week high and 18.64 percent above its 52-week low. For example, looking both at the price and the high and low measurements of 52 weeks will give you a clearer picture of the direction the price is heading. The firm’s Weighted Alpha is -0.08. A positive weighted alpha indicates the firm has done well over the course of the year, whereas one below 0 indicates that the firm has done poorly.

What Does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.’s Profitability and Valuation Ratios Tell Us About the Stock?

With regard to the profitability of the company, the operating margin is currently at 18.90 percent and the profit margin is 17.10 percent, and the company has reported a gross margin of 23.10 percent. The profit margin, also known as the revenue ratio or gross profit ratio, is an efficiency figure used to estimate the business’s profitability by comparing net income and sales. The higher the number, the more profits are generated for the company and vice versa.

The stock’s market cap achieved a total value of $26.05 billion as of the last trading session. Market capitalization is the total value of all outstanding shares of a corporation and it is used to measure a company’s market value. The price-to-earnings ratio for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) is 34.50. The price-to-earnings ratio is a method of assessing corporate values by comparing them to their per-share profit. Forward P/E stands at 22.86. Forward price-to-earnings is calculated using predicted earnings for the next financial year’s P/E determination. The stock has achieved an effective Price-to-Sales Ratio of 6.72 that mirrors the cost to be found for sales by the market. The firm managed a Price-to-Book ratio of 3.17, which equates the market value of a stock with its book value.

Is Insider Trading a Real Thing?

Almost all investors and traders prefer to invest in shares controlled by the management of a corporation as a management company will be more likely to run the business itself and to never conduct things against the management’s desires and will always try to do what is best for their shareholders. Currently, 0.62 percent of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. shares are owned by insiders, and 38.50 percent are held by financial institutions.

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